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Free Access1 Month Finds Selling Interest Above 1330, But Won Down 1% Last Week
1 month USD/KRW found selling interest above 1330 on Friday, before closing in NY trade at 1328.7. This was a won loss of 0.50% for Friday's session, to be down around 1% for last week in total. Note onshore spot ended Friday's session at 1329.9. We are a little higher in earlier dealings today, last near 1322.
- In terms of levels earlier Mar and late Feb highs around 1335.5 remain intact for the 1 month NDF. We have the 20 and 50-day EMAs both near 1324 on the downside.
- Broader equity sentiment was weaker through Friday, while last week tech indices in terms of the SOX (-4.04%) and MSCI IT (-1.09%) were down. The rebound in US real yields (10yr back to 1.99%) has weighed on sentiment in this space and aided broader USD gains. Signs of sticky inflation pressures from data last week has dented Fed easing expectations.
- These have been headwinds for KRW, while the sharp USD/JPY rebound has also likely been a factor.
- To recap, onshore equities finished poorly last week, down 1.91%, with some disappointment around the 'value up' program post the Samsung C&T annual meeting. Offshore investors sold $771.1mn of local shares last week.
- This morning we have had a likely ballistic missile test from North Korea. This appears to be coinciding with US Secretary of State Blinken meeting with South Korean Foreign Minister Cho in Seoul today.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.