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1 month USD/KRW Drifts Higher Amid Tech Equity Weakness, CPI Out Soon

KRW

1 month USD/KRW mostly tracked higher post the Asia close on Tuesday. We finished up the NY session near 1334. Note onshore spot finished Tuesday's session at 1334.5, so near by to these levels. Coming up shortly is Feb CPI data.

  • The 1 month USD/KRW NDF remains within recent ranges, although we aren't too far away from recent highs, while a push towards 1340 may draw more selling interest or fresh verbal rhetoric from the authorities.
  • Tuesday trade saw lower US yields post weaker ISM services data, but we also had weakness in tech related equity indices. The SOX and the MSCI IT index off a little over 2% for the session.
  • To recap, the Kospi finished a little over 0.90% down yesterday, while offshore investors were close to flat (+$12mn).
  • The market expects Feb CPI to print higher in y/y terms (headline is projected at 3.0% y/y, versus 2.8% prior). Core (ex food and energy) is expected to be steady at 2.5% y/y. The authorities had flagged in recent months the risk that near term inflation pressures tick up.
  • Earlier FX reserves were closed to unchanged for Feb at $415.73bn.

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