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20s Strength Stood Out In Jun Auctions, But 10s Soft Again (3/3)

US TSYS/SUPPLY

June’s coupon auctions were more mixed compared with May’s strong performances (when all but 1 sale traded through their when-issued yield), as we pointed out in our review of the month's auctions in the latest Treasury Deep Dive. Of the 7 June sales, 4 traded through, with 3 tailing. However the tails were relatively modest, and only the 20Y sale really stood out.

  • Indeed the 20Y sale was the strongest per our Relative Strength Indicator, with a 2bp trade-through. Also of note was the 1.1bp trade-through on the 30Y. Both long-end instruments saw strong non-dealer bidding.
  • The 10Y segment was a weak point once again, with the biggest tail of the month (1.5bp) – it was the only auction to tail in May. The 10Y sale came on the same day as the middling 3Y result.

June Auction Results::

  • 2Y Note trade-through, 4.670% vs. 4.680% WI
  • 2Y FRN, 0.134% high margin vs. 0.170% prior
  • 3Y Note tail, 4.202% vs. 4.200% WI
  • 5Y Note tail, 4.019% vs. 4.012% WI
  • 5Y TIPS, 1.832% high yield vs. 1.320% prior
  • 7Y Note trade-through, 3.839% vs. 3.847% WI
  • 10Y Note tail, 3.791% vs. 3.776% WI
  • 20Y Bond trade-through, 4.010% vs. 4.03% WI
  • 30Y Bond trade through, 3.908% vs. 3.919% WI

Numbers indicate auction stop-through (+)/tail (-) in basis points. Source: MNI

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