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Amadeus FV

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  • IPT given at MS+110-115bps; we see FV at MS+70-75bps, noting the flatness of the 3-5yr curve for both Amadeus and Capgemini.
  • Spreads have traded in a relatively tight range over H2; below timer-series shows the EUR 28s plotted against the average spreads from the bonds shown in the curve chart; noting some widening over the past few sessions.
  • Colleague noted that Q423 results were remarkably in line with consensus while credit metrics moved in the right direction with EBITDA leverage to 1x from 1.1x and FCF +18% YoY.
  • Recent news has centred around reported interest in a bid for US payments processor Shift4 though Amadeus indicated shortly thereafter that they are no longer pursuing the deal.
  • Amadeus haven’t issued in EUR since 2020.
  • EUR curve muted, EUR 27s/28s less than 1bp wider on the day.


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