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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
Analysis:Frgn Portfolios Pile On Record C$24B Cdn Bonds in Jul>
--Foreign Investment in Canadian Securities +C$24.0B
--Canadian Investment in Foreign Securities -C$1.8B
By Yali N'Diaye
OTTAWA (MNI) - Foreign investors piled on Canadian bonds in July,
helping boost their total portfolio holdings of Canadian securities by
C$24.0 billion over the month, following a C$0.9 billion divestment in
June, Statistics Canada reported Monday.
Meanwhile, Canadian investors divested C$1.8 billion in foreign
securities, as a C$1.1 billion investment in debt securities, mainly
U.S. Treasuries (C$0.7 billion), was more than offset by a C$2.9 billion
divestment in foreign equities.
Divestment in foreign equities was led by non-US equity, with C$2.5
billion, while holdings of U.S. stocks were down C$0.5 billion despite a
1.9% gain in U.S. stock prices over the month.
Foreign investors, on the other hand, purchased C$1.6 billion in
Canadian equities, while Canadian stock prices edged down 0.3% in July.
Investment resulted from cross-border mergers and acquisitions.
The bulk of foreign investors' purchases, however, targeted
Canadian bonds, with a record C$23.8 billion.
During the month, when the Bank of Canada raised its overnight
policy rate by 25 basis points to 0.75% as had been widely expected by
analysts, short-term Canadian rates rose 8 basis points and long-term
rates were up 35 basis points. In the U.S., short-term rates rose 9
basis points and long-term rates 13 basis points. The loonie appreciated
against the greenback by 3 U.S. cents.
Purchases of Canadian federal government debt increased by C$8.0
billion, the largest investment since May 2016.
Foreign investors also focused on private sector corporate bonds,
with purchases reaching C$12.9 billion, the largest investment since
March 2015, led by new issues in foreign markets (C$11.4 billion),
largely denominated in foreign currencies. Roughly half of such bonds
were issued by Canadian banks, the agency said.
Overall, foreign investment in Canadian debt rose C$22.3 billion in
July, the largest gain since May 2012.
Year-to-date, foreign investment in Canadian securities reached
C$124.0 billion, with C$97.3 billion in securities issued by private
corporations.
--MNI Ottawa Bureau; email: yali.ndiaye@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MACDS$,M$C$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.