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ANZ note that "the People's Bank of China.....>

CHINA
CHINA: ANZ note that "the People's Bank of China (PBoC) has announced a
reduction of 100bps in the required reserve ratio (RRR) for major banks, a move
which will likely release net liquidity of CNY400bn after excluding outstanding
medium-term lending facilities (MLF). The move is neutral from a quantitative
point of view, as it hints at the authorities' efforts to deleverage by
controlling the growth of debt quantitatively. We estimate the excess reserve
ratio may rise to 1.3%, which is its average level over the past quarters. The
MLF rate is above 3% compared with the opportunity cost of 0.72% for the
liquidity released by the RRR cut. The latter may signal that the authorities
probably want to avoid a sharp rise in corporates' funding costs amid the
ongoing deleveraging. We maintain our view that long-end CGB yields should trend
higher, but we are tweaking our forecast for 10-year CGB yield to 4.0% by
year-end, compared with 4.35% previously."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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