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Free AccessARS craters on shock primary.......>
EMERGING MARKETS: ARS craters on shock primary result
-LatAm currencies got plenty of coverage Monday, with the ARS spiralling to
fresh record lows as President Macri surprisingly suffered at primary elections
held over the weekend. Pricing was patchy at best, but the ARS fell as much as
35% against the USD, with the only relief coming as the Argentine central bank
stepped in to spend $50mln on direct intervention. The rate slightly stabilised,
but still nurses losses of over 25% at typing. The outlook remains unclear, but
a speech at 4.30pm local time (2030BST/1530ET) from President Macri will be
carefully watched.
-The ramifications were clear for broader LatAm FX space, as BRL, MXN, CLP and
COP were all dragged lower, underperforming all others in EM. The swift and
sharp dent to risk sentiment took a lot of the air out of TRY, which helped
USD/TRY bounce back above the 200-dma at 5.5635.
-Indian CPI data and Polish trade balance are the data highlights Tuesday,
although focus will likely remain on the global risk picture, with any response
to Argentina's currency collapse carefully watched.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.