Free Trial

ASIA/US/EUROPE BOND & STOCK RECAP: TSYS OPEN FIRMER,FLATTER

     US TSYS SUMMARY: Treasuries opened NY firmer, flatter after overnight mixed
flows. That followed Mon decline (except 30Y) amid heavy US$ high-grade
corporate bond issuance and weaker German Bunds. 
- TOKYO: Treasuries declined early amid strong Australian business confidence,
but then drew some demand as Asian banks bought 2Y and 5Y notes while Asian real
money bough 5Y, 10Y notes. Also accounts bought the long end but sold the belly;
mkt improved into UK session. China had weaker than expected retail sales. China
10Y govt bond yield hit over 4% for first time in three years. 
- LONDON: Tsys and rates had carryover bid, long end outperforming. Bank and
prop accts buying occurred in 30Y bonds, while real$ sold 5Ys. Others did cash
Tsy flatteners. 
- US SWAPS: Sprds mixed, curve steeper. Scattered receivers, mixed curve flows,
RV accts did flatteners, with recent 10/20Y steepeners. 
- OVERNIGHT REPO: Old 3Y notes again had demand; 3/10/30Y auctions settled Wed
11/15. 
- US HIGH-GRADE CORPORATE BONDS:Wld Bk 10Y, Freddie Mac 3Y Reference Note.
GILT SUMMARY: Gilts are trading steady to higher with the yield curve bull
steepening as the short-end outperforms following softer than expected UK
October inflation data. 
- UK CPI came unchanged for October at 3.0% y/y, below consensus and BoE
forecasts for a tick higher to 3.1% y/y. While core CPI also remained unchanged
at 2.7% y/y. Numbers signal that inflation might have peaked and could slip
lower from here as input price inflation hits lowest since July 2016. 
- UK 10-yr Gilt yield is -0.4 bps at 1.323%. 
- Gilts opened lower and extended losses ahead of UK inflation data as the Uk
government appear to cave into Tory rebels and the opposition Labour party when
David Davis announced there will be a vote on the final Brexit deal, however it
pretty much is a 'take-it-or-leave-it' vote as UK will still leave the EU. 
- There were no surprising comments from BOE Governor Carney at the ECB panel
discussion on central bank communication. 
- 5-yr & 10-yr Breakevens are 3bp tighter while swap spreads are little changed
EGB SUMMARY: The much-awaited ECB panel with Draghi, Yellen, Carney and Kuroda
has been disappointing in terms of monetary policy information, even if
sometimes entertaining. However, EGB yields are generally lower on the session
with the Bund yield down 0.9bp to 0.408%. 
- Today's star performers have been the Iberian markets, taking over the baton
from a good performance by BTPs earlier on in the session. The Bund-Bonos spread
is 1.8bp tighter at 108bp. The Bund-PGB spread is 4bp tighter at 153bp, helped
by a Rabobank piece looking to the Fitch rating decision on Portugal. 
- Dutch 10Y and German 2Y auctions were smoothly executed and the new Schatz
picked up some decent bidding, when newly-introduced German 2Y paper can often
be technically uncovered. 
- The flash Eurozone GDP release came in line with expectations (and preliminary
flash GDP) at 0.6% Q/Q. Spanish CPI was also released and the core measure
surprised to the downside at 0.9%Y/Y. Finally, German ZEW for November saw
current conditions beat consensus at 88.8, the highest since 2011.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.