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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: BOJ Tankan To Show Slipping Sentiment
MNI: PBOC Net Drains CNY288.1 Bln via OMO Friday
ASIA/US/EUROPE BOND/STOCK RECAP: TSYS WEAK RANGE INTO DEC JOBS
US TSYS/STOCKS: US Treasuries prices open NY weaker, mildly steeper after
overnight range trade into the key 8:30am ET Dec US nonfarm payroll employment
data, expected to have normal release after Thur snow-tied delays; MNI poll:
median est +190k, perhaps a little low after Thu's +250k ADP number, whisper was
for 219K gain.
- TOKYO: Tsys range until early UK on light 2way flows. Stronger Asian stocks
esp. Nikkei and firm US$ spur some Tsys selling. Asian real$ sold 7Ys. Foreign
central bank buying short end, other buying in 3Y, 5Ys; 5/30Y steepeners.
- LONDON: Range in Tsys, intermeds/long end pressured but drew prop/fast$ buying
long end. More buying in 3Y,5Y Tsys, while bank portfolio 10Y sales arose. Fast$
rate payers in short end.
- US EURODLR FUTURES: Buyer of 12,500 EDH8 Eurodlr futs at 98.19, part vs. EDM8
at 98.01.
- US SWAPS: Mostly wider, 10Y near disinversion. - OVERNIGHT REPO: Tsy 3Y, 10Y
tight.
- US HIGH-GRADE CORPORATE ISSUANCE: Busy; late Fri rate-lock hedges into Mon.
GILT SUMMARY: Gilts have pared earlier gains to trade little changed from
Thursday closing levels with the exception of the 2-yr which is underperforming
the rest of the curve ahead of key US non-farm payroll data.
- Markets seemed to have dismissed the soft Eurozone flash core CPI number,
renewed concerns over UK consumers and sharp drop in unit labour costs.
- 2-yr Gilt yield is +0.6bp at 0.498%, 5-yr +0.2bp at 0.755%, 10-yr -0.4bp at
1.230%, 30-yr -0.1bp at 1.780% and 50-yr -0.1bp at 1.582%.
- March Gilt future was trading little changed from Thursdays settlement price,
but suddenly rallied over 20 ticks, more than likely supported by large 4,250 G
H8 future block and confirmation of sharp drop in UK car sales for 2017. Sharp
drop in UK unit labour costs also initially support Gilts.
- Gilts actually pared gains though in wake of Eurozone flash core CPI coming in
at 0.9% y/y vs expectations of 1.0% y/y.
- 5-yr breakevens have risen above its 100-DMA and are trading 2.1bp wider at
2.976%, while 2-yr swaps spreads are 3.7bp tighter at 29.4bps. - Attention now
turns to US non-farm payroll and average weekly earnings data.
EGB SUMMARY: The main theme in European debt markets has been the firm bid at
the long end of the peripheral curves because while the core markets have shown
a small amount of volatility, they are essentially unchanged.
- Thus far, the Bund yield is +0.3bp at a yield of 0.437% and movements along
the remainder of the curve have been small.
- By contrast, Italian and Portuguese 10Y spreads are 2bp tighter to Germany,
Spain 4bp tighter and the Greek market 7.5bp tighter.
- In data, the extremely volatile German retail sales report showed an
above-consensus 4.4% annual gain in November, French December consumer
confidence was smartly above consensus at 105, up from 102 and the only bond
bullish release was that Eurozone core CPI repeated the 0.9% annual gain in
December, disappointing an expectation that it would hit 1%.
- There has been very little reaction to any of the data releases.
- A heavy US data schedule has dampened volatility this morning.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.