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June 04, 2018 08:03 GMT
Asian FX is on the comeback trail led...>
DOLLAR-ASIA
DOLLAR-ASIA: Asian FX is on the comeback trail led by the IDR and INR which have
strengthened roughly 3% each over the past two weeks. Interestingly, this has
come in the face of Chinese yuan weakness as FX correlations across the region
have weakened.
- A firm commitment by Bank Indonesia to use monetary tightening to stem
currency weakness provided a sharp relief rally for the IDR, while the INR has
benefitted from the slight cooling of global oil prices as well as the
improvement in bond yield spreads versus the US.
- The performance of the Chinese yuan is still likely to have a significant
impact on Asian FX in general, but with interest rates likely to continue rising
in India and Indonesia, the region's two major carry currencies, outperformance
looks set to continue within the region, particularly in total return terms.
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