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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI ASIA MARKETS OPEN: Tsy Curves Reverse Course Ahead Wed CPI
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS:Waiting For Next Inflation Shoe Drop
Key Inter-Meeting Fed Speak – Dec 2024
US TREASURY AUCTION CALENDAR: Avg 3Y Sale
ASML One Of The Stronger TMT Curves in April Following Broadly Flat March
- ASML bonds have been performing well WoW to sit as one of the better performing TMT curves in recent sessions, tightening 8-14bps vs. govies on the week. YTD spreads have tightened by over 30bps in places with G-spreads now at/below 50bps across the curve.
- We note some ASML-relevant news stories in recent sessions though see the strong WoW performance as more likely a resumption of YTD tightening in the wake of Q4 results which revealed record high Q4 order intake despite delayed investments from key customers such as TSMC.
- Earlier this week, US funding of USD 6.6bn was allocated to TSMC on their commitment to produce 2nm chips in Arizona, aligning with US efforts to localise semiconductor manufacturing. A significant portion of this revenue should flow to ASML in the coming years (BI analysts estimates see up to 20% of the USD 6.6bn, equivalent to close to 5% of ASML 2023). TSMC earlier today reported Q1 revenue +34% YoY, likely helping equity prices higher today.
- Also noting reports last week that the US is seeking to block ASML from servicing China's chip equipment, planning talks with the Dutch gov’t aimed at curbing Beijing's tech capabilities amid security concerns. China accounts for ~30% of ASML revenue.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.