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AUD/GBP: Fresh Cycle Lows On Monday, UK Employment On Tap

AUD

AUD/GBP printed a fresh cycle low on Monday falling below the £0.52 handle before marginally paring losses. Weaker-than-forecast Chinese inflation data and GBP reinforcing bullish trend conditions weighed on the pair.

  • The pair fell ~0.4% and last prints at £0.5190/95 sitting ~11% below early February highs.
  • On the downside bears now target the £0.50 handle, a break through here opens lows from March 2020 at £0.4795.
  • Bulls first look to break yesterday's high at £0.5217, from here they can target the 20-Day EMA (£0.5255).
  • May UK Employment data is on tap today, ILO unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 3.8% and Average Weekly Earnings Growth is forecast to tick higher to 6.8% Y/Y.

Fig 1: AUD/GBP Daily Spot, EMAs

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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