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AUD/NZD Continues Move Higher, Eyes 1.1000, AU-NZ 2yr Swap Hits New Highs

NZD
  • The AUD/NZD marked the fourth straight day of gains, finishing the session up 0.15% at 1.0987.
  • The cross is now trading 2.31% higher from recent cycle lows, made on June 6, as the local central banks policies diverge. While earlier in the week a plunge in NZ dairy and Milk prices may hurt the NZD.
  • Key levels to watch: Initial support lays at 1.0962 (July 3 lows) a break here would open a move to 1.0900 (20-day EMA) below here 1.0850 (pre cpi/ June 26 lows). While a break above the overnight highs of 1.0993 would see a test of 1.100 (May 13 high) and the yearly highs at 1.1031 (May 7)
  • The AU-NZ 2yr swap is 2.5bps higher at -44.5bps. (See Chart. Source BBG)
  • Expiries: No strikes today, upcoming strikes include 1.0800 ($600m) 1.0700 ($900m) for July 4th NY cut
  • Today, Australia May Trade Balance at 11:30 AEST will be the main focus.

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