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AUD, NZD See Diverging Fortunes in CFTC Positioning

CFTC
  • Markets reversed a large part of the AUD net short by buying a net 19k contracts, putting the net position further off the 52w low to meet 31% of open interest. This tips the 52w Z-Score to 0.64 and potentially showing short-term momentum improvement since the nadir of mid-March.
  • Conversely, the NZD position slipped, as markets sold a net of 2.6k contracts to deepen the net short. NZD shorts now account for a net 20% of open interest. The data, accurate as of the 7th May close, captured the poorer-than-expected Q1 labour market data, with employment change surprising lower (-0.2% vs. Exp. +0.3% Q/Q, unemployment rate at 4.3% vs. Exp. 4.2%).
  • The JPY, GBP and EUR net positions gained, while CAD, CHF and MXN deteriorated. On a Z-score basis, CHF and EUR show the most negative readings, while MXN and now AUD are the most positive. Full update here:

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