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AUD Resistance Intact as Pair Turns Lower Post-RBA

FOREX
  • Another positive close for stocks across Asia-Pac continues to support sentiment headed into Europe's Tuesday session, although European index futures are in minor negative territory, indicating a small pullback at the cash open in around 45 minutes time.
  • AUD certainly the most volatile among G10 overnight, with the RBA's decision to stick to a cautious taper initially boosting AUD, only for progress to be countered by an extension of the QE programme into mid-February next year. AUD/USD hi/lo sits at 0.7468/0.7412. This keeps resistance intact at 0.7478 and progress through here would open the 100-dma at 0.7541. Option interest at 0.7410-15 could keep prices anchored alongside a larger expiry for tomorrow's cut at 0.7425.
  • Solid finish for Asian equities puts USD/JPY well off the overnight lows of 109.69, with similar price action noted in EUR, GBP/JPY also.
  • Chinese trade data overnight showed a larger than expected surplus, with both exports and imports %change well ahead of expectations.
  • Germany's ZEW survey and final Eurozone GDP (exp. Unrevised) are the data highlights. BoE MPC member Saunders is due to speak at an 'Ask the Expert' event, delivering an economic briefing and answering questions.

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