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AUD/USD operates at $0.7205, 21 pips lower...>

AUSSIE
AUSSIE: AUD/USD operates at $0.7205, 21 pips lower on the day, heading into the
RBA MonPol decision at the bottom of the hour, after soft local data weighed on
AUD early on.
- With little change foreseen in the Bank's broader outlook focus will fall on
any clues surrounding the Bank's GDP exp. (currently 3.25% for 2019 & 3.00% for
2020), scheduled for official publishing in the SoMP on Friday.
- Elsewhere, the Bank's view on inflation and labour market dynamics will garner
interest.
- As a reminder, the Bank has reiterated that it believes that the next move in
its cash rate will be higher. Most expect this to be reiterated, in either the
SoMP, or minutes from the meeting.
- BBG's WIRP interpolated OIS model shows that markets are pricing a ~40% chance
of at least 1 cut by year end, while the IB strip prices closer to 50% chance of
such a move.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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