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opening calls


SAGBs Pause for Breath, 10 Y 30Y Yields Run Into Support


Bear Flag Formation

AUSSIE: AUD/USD sits at $0.6795 at writing, a touch lower on the day, after
rallying on China tariffs delay on Tuesday.
- Tuesday saw the pair edge higher from the off, even in the absence of any
material improvement in risk sentiment across the markets. AUD/USD shed gains in
early NY hours as core measures of U.S. CPI topped forecasts. The major boost,
which prompted a sharp bounce, was provided by the U.S. decision to delay a
fresh round of tariffs on some consumer products from China by 3 months, to
avoid affecting consumers in the run-up to Christmas. Subsequent rhetoric from
both the U.S. & China, suggesting that they remain in touch re: trade, fuelled
revived optimism, which carried AUD/USD to its intraday peak at $0.6818. The
rate slightly corrected the move pre-WMR fix, but remained elevated.
- Above the Aug 8 high of $0.6822 opens the 38.2% retracement of Jul-Aug fall at
$0.6832. Bears eye $0.6750-45 zone, which registered several lows this month.
- Aussie highlights today are Westpac cons. conf. survey and wage price index.
RBA Dep Gov Debelle will speak in the London morning and on Thursday; the key
jobs report hits also on Thursday. China's activity data is also in focus today.