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Bearish Cycle Still In Play


Death Cross Adding Pressure


Risk Off Prompts Safe Haven Demand

AUSSIE: AUD/USD slipped a tad in early trade, only to bounce from lows. The rate
currently sits at $0.6778, 14 pips higher on the day.
- The initial drop was provoked by APRA's decision to strengthened prudential
standard to limit contagion risk within banking groups, with ANZ noting that
they may have limited capacity to inject capital into its NZ entity. A source
pointed to AUD/USD selling from a U.S. name around these headlines.
- The rate bounced, with gains extended post-RBA minutes. There was little
immediate reaction, as the document revealed little new, but BBG trader sources
pointed to short covering & demand from Australian exporters seeking to hedge
their positions as the central bank highlighted a better growth outlook.
- Having topped out at $0.6784, the pair is sandwiched between its 100-HMA
($0.6774) and 200-HMA ($0.6779) at writing, where it has consolidated over the
last hour or so. A clean breach of the 200-HMA would open up the $0.6800
barrier, followed by the Aug 8 high of $0.6822. Conversely, a pullback below the
100-HMA would return focus to the Aug 14 low of $0.6736.
- Skilled vacancies data hits tomorrow, with flash CBA PMIs due on Thursday.