Free Trial

AUDNZD: AUD/NZD Continues Trend Highs, Eyes 1.1100

AUDNZD
  • AUD/NZD jumped 0.81% to 1.1079, the move higher was due to the dovish RBNZ, while there was some further support following comments that the China Ministry Of Finance to meet on Saturday.
  • The cross remains trading above all key moving averages and remains in its upward trend, key resistance is seen at 1.1100, with a break here opening a move to test yearly highs at 1.1144 (July 29 highs). To the downside, support is at 1.1013 (61.8% of the July 30-Sep 6 move), with a break here opening a move to test 1.0968 (20-day EMA).
  • RBA dated OIS pricing has cool further, the market sees a 31% chance of a 25bps cut this year, and is now pricing in just 0.73bps of cuts through to September 2025, with the first full cut not until April.
  • The AU-NZ 2yr swap spread has been rather volatile over the past few session, closing Wednesday up 5bps to 31bps, vs Tuesday's highs of 36bps.
  • Expiries: 1.0975 ($291m), 1.105 ($307m) Oct 11th
  • Today, Consumer Inflation Expectation at 1100 AEST, while RBA's Hunter will participate in a panel discussion after the close.
181 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
  • AUD/NZD jumped 0.81% to 1.1079, the move higher was due to the dovish RBNZ, while there was some further support following comments that the China Ministry Of Finance to meet on Saturday.
  • The cross remains trading above all key moving averages and remains in its upward trend, key resistance is seen at 1.1100, with a break here opening a move to test yearly highs at 1.1144 (July 29 highs). To the downside, support is at 1.1013 (61.8% of the July 30-Sep 6 move), with a break here opening a move to test 1.0968 (20-day EMA).
  • RBA dated OIS pricing has cool further, the market sees a 31% chance of a 25bps cut this year, and is now pricing in just 0.73bps of cuts through to September 2025, with the first full cut not until April.
  • The AU-NZ 2yr swap spread has been rather volatile over the past few session, closing Wednesday up 5bps to 31bps, vs Tuesday's highs of 36bps.
  • Expiries: 1.0975 ($291m), 1.105 ($307m) Oct 11th
  • Today, Consumer Inflation Expectation at 1100 AEST, while RBA's Hunter will participate in a panel discussion after the close.