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AUSSIE 10-YEAR TECHS: (U4) Off Highs, But Still Firm

AUSSIE 10-YEAR TECHS
  • RES 3: 96.207 - 61.8% of the Mar 14 - Nov 1 ‘23 bear leg  
  • RES 2: 96.110 - High Dec 28 and the bull trigger 
  • RES 1: 95.923 - High Jun 14 
  • PRICE: 95.625 @ 16:17 BST Jul 03
  • SUP 1: 95.235 - 76.4% retracement of the Nov - Dec ‘23 rally 
  • SUP 2: 94.965 - Low Oct 31 ‘23 
  • SUP 3: 94.866 - 2.618 proj of the Dec 28 - Jan 19 - Feb 2 price swing  

Prices returned lower last week on the back of the higher-than-expected Australian CPI release. Any further weakness would signal scope for a move towards 95.235, a Fibonacci retracement point on the continuation chart. Nonetheless, the corrective rally in Aussie 10y futures persisted into last week’s close, with new highs printed at 95.923. Key short-term resistance has been defined at 96.110 on the continuation chart. A firm break would highlight a possible reversal and signal scope for further gains.

 

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  • RES 3: 96.207 - 61.8% of the Mar 14 - Nov 1 ‘23 bear leg  
  • RES 2: 96.110 - High Dec 28 and the bull trigger 
  • RES 1: 95.923 - High Jun 14 
  • PRICE: 95.625 @ 16:17 BST Jul 03
  • SUP 1: 95.235 - 76.4% retracement of the Nov - Dec ‘23 rally 
  • SUP 2: 94.965 - Low Oct 31 ‘23 
  • SUP 3: 94.866 - 2.618 proj of the Dec 28 - Jan 19 - Feb 2 price swing  

Prices returned lower last week on the back of the higher-than-expected Australian CPI release. Any further weakness would signal scope for a move towards 95.235, a Fibonacci retracement point on the continuation chart. Nonetheless, the corrective rally in Aussie 10y futures persisted into last week’s close, with new highs printed at 95.923. Key short-term resistance has been defined at 96.110 on the continuation chart. A firm break would highlight a possible reversal and signal scope for further gains.