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Aussie Bonds tracked Tsys & had........>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: Aussie Bonds tracked Tsys & had ebbed away from early session lows
ahead of today's RBA decision. The RBA stood pat, as exp., with a statement that
offered little in the way of surprises. It introduced the risk factors apparent
in Europe, particularly Italy, as well as those from a "few emerging market
economies." The RBA reiterated its reference to the issues created by the US
trade stance. Elsewhere the Bank removed its reference to the reduction of spare
capacity & stated that while there may be some further tightening of lending
standards mortgage interest rates have continued to decline, perhaps suggesting
that there is no need to act to alleviate any pressure that borrowers may be
feeling. The IB strip isn't fully pricing in a 25bp hike until Oct '19, while
the OIS strip is only pricing around 5bp worth of tightening over the next year.
Elsewhere Q1 Current A/c & Net Exports data came in on the soft side, perhaps
tempering exp. for tomorrow's GDP release after yesterday's strong partials.
- The space continues to operate around familiar levels with the AU/US 10-Year
spread at ~-20.0bp and the domestic 3-/10-Year yield differential at ~57bp after
Bonds has a limited knee-jerk higher on the RBA statement.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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