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AUSSIE-YEN: The risk-barometer cross sits at Y87.05 at the lower side of the
Y87.19 to Y87.04 range seen so far this morning, with real money supply in
dollar-yen seen to weigh. Chinese October trade data provides the main event
risk during the session, while there is no-set time, it usually is released
around 0200GMT. Exports are expected at 7.1% y/y, imports at 17.0% y/y and the
trade balance is expected to come in at $39.10bn, up from $28.5bn prior. Bears
appears to have the upper hand with a third close below the 100-dma, the cross
looking vulnerable to a test of the 200-dma at Y86.02. Initial support is
located at Y86.60 (76.4% Y85.45 to Y90.31 move).