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AUSTRALIA VIEW: *** Bank views on yesterday's RBA....>

AUSSIE-YEN TECHS, AUSTRALIA VIEW
AUSTRALIA VIEW: *** Bank views on yesterday's RBA MonPol Decision (1/2)
ANZ: The May statement is consistent with the comments in the minutes from the
April meeting. We exp. that the commentary and forecasts in the Statement on
Monetary Policy due out on Friday will continue this theme, with a relatively
upbeat growth outlook and forecasts that show gradual progress towards the
mid-point of the inflation target band.
- CBA: Nothing in the Statement alters our long held view that the RBA will
remain very tardy in lifting rates. We still see the first move not coming in
Nov 18, at the earliest. The clear risk to our view is that the RBA will wait a
bit longer if there is a lack of any hard evidence of intensifying wage or price
pressures and given widespread evidence of moderating national house prices.
- RBC: Although the statement retained positive forward-looking commentary, the
recent weakening was acknowledged which may be a prelude to a downgrade for
nearer-term forecasts on Friday. While we don't envisage a hard landing, the
impetus to hike remains a while off, and we remain of the view that the RBA will
keep the cash rate steady until '19.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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