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Bad News On Covid Front

PHP

Spot USD/PHP trades flat at PHP48.545 as we type, with little in the way of fresh impetus coming from the recent headline flow.

  • The Philippines has seen a fresh wave of Covid-19 infections, which prompted officials to reinstate some targeted restrictions.
  • Econ Planning Sec Chua said that the renewed outbreak is unlikely to have a large impact on the economy, as officials will rely on localised lockdowns, while the speed of vaccinations will pick up.
  • Per yesterday's data, overseas remittances shrank less than expected in Jan, falling 1.7% Y/Y to $2.603bn.
  • Bulls look for a breach of Mar 2 & 9 highs of PHP48.725 before targeting the 200-DMA/Feb 23 high at PHP48.753/48.755. Bears need a fall through Mar 12 low of PHP48.370 before taking aim at the 100-DMA/50-DMA at PHP48.250/48.249.
  • Philippine budget balance is due later today, while BoP data will hit the wires on Friday.

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