Free Trial

Bank desk views on the upcoming...........>

AUSTRALIA
AUSTRALIA: Bank desk views on the upcoming Australian CPI Release:
- ANZ: We expect inflation has stabilised a little below the RBA's 2-3% policy
target band. Seasonal increases in education, childcare, and pharmaceutical
products will add to headline CPI in Q1, but are expected to be offset by
seasonal falls in the prices of international holiday & accommodation and fresh
fruit & vegetables. Petrol prices were broadly flat in the quarter. Retail price
deflation remains a key theme.
- CBA: The Q1 CPI figures should confirm that the underlying pulse of inflation
in Australia remains weak. Soft wages growth, underpinned by elevated spare
capacity in the labour market, means that both headline and core inflation
should print at the bottom of the RBA's 2-3% target band. Our forecast profile
has underlying inflation remaining anchored at 2% until Q4 2018. Monetary policy
will likely remain on hold until it is clear that wages growth is on a sustained
upward trend. That means that the cash rate should remain unchanged for at least
the next sixth months.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.