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Bayer: 1Q24 Preview

HEALTHCARE

Bayer (BAYNGR: Baa2 neg/BBB/BBB): 1Q24 Preview


Bayer reports tomorrow ahead of the open. Currently they are provisioning for EUR 5.7bn ($6.3bn) for RoundUp litigation. This is 59% of their total ‘Other Provisions’ Current and Non-Current items. The market will be looking for any significant change in that figure. The company has won 11/16 recent cases and managed to reduce payout by 90% in several otherwise negative results.

  • The other main risk for Bayer is the eventual loss of exclusivity on their two major drugs Eylea and Xarelto which contribute 40% of their total Pharma revenue (7.3bn / 18bn). The market will want to see further progress on sales in Nubeqa and Kerendi and any news on Elinzanetant.
  • Bayer have cut their dividend to the legal minimum which saves around EUR 2bn per year. The company is also making significant cuts in bureaucracy to save a further EUR 2bn by end 2026. Any talk of splitting the company has been shelved for the intermediate term.
  • Revenue EUR 14bn expected.
  • Nubeqa sales 285m analysts estimate.
  • Adj EBITDA EUR 4.2bn

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