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BER Business Confidence Lowest Since Q1 2021

SOUTH AFRICA
MNI (London)

SOUTH AFRICA Q3 RMB/BER BUSINESS CONFIDENCE INDEX 39; VS 42 IN Q2

  • South African business confidence weakened by 3 points to the lowest level since Q1 2021, dipping further below the neutral 50-threshold into stronger pessimism.
  • The survey results are unlikely to imply a contraction for Q3 for the South African economy, following yesterday's Q2 GDP data which saw a -0.7% q/q fall due largely to a significant drag in manufacturing. Both load shedding and devastating floods hampered production capacity throughout the quarter.
  • A substantial slump was noted in building confidence, as the propensity to invest weakens against a backdrop of high inflation (7.8% y/y in July) and the SARB swiftly hiking rates. Manufacturing sentiment also remained low. Vehicle dealers and strong retail confidence kept the index from sliding further. Load-shedding continues to chip at confidence and will be again a defining factor in South African growth capacity.
  • Of higher relevance will be tomorrow's slew of data. Focus will be on the BER consumer confidence index, followed by the Q2 current account balance and July manufacturing production.

Source: BER/RMB & MNI

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