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$-Bloc June’24 Easing Expectations Have Been Scaled Back

STIR

Over the past two weeks, expectations regarding easing by June 2024 in the $-Bloc have undergone a reduction. Here's a breakdown of the adjustments:

  • Easing projections for the Fed and the BoC have been revised downwards by 25bp and 20bp respectively.
  • The projections for the RBA have been revised lower by 10bp.
  • In contrast, the anticipated easing for the RBNZ by June'24 remains steady at 7bp.

Figure 1: $-Bloc STIR: Terminal Rate Expectations & June’24 Pricing



Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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