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Free AccessBMO analyst Aaron Kohli said..........>
US DATA REACT: BMO analyst Aaron Kohli said September ADP "was exactly in line
with consensus of 135k" as "details showed relatively broad health with most
employers adding with the exception of very small businesses (1-19 employees)
that were seen cutting slightly. Biggest gains were for employers with 50-499
and 1000+ employees. The skew was also towards services with gains there at
nearly double those in the goods producing sector."
- He adds "relationship between the first release of ADP and NFP numbers has
weakened a bit of late" but "consensus expectations for both sport a correlation
over 0.9 in the last 3 yrs. That likely adds to the noise this Friday and it's
hard to know what to make of this specific print, vis-a-vis what it implies for
Friday's print. The on-consensus read leaves the mkt still expecting a soft NFP
due to hurricane effects with the consensus currently at 80k on the headline."
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.