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BOE: MPC Lowers Growth, CPI Forecasts; Further Fall..>
BOE: MPC Lowers Growth, CPI Forecasts; Further Fall In Unemployment Seen
-BOE: Forecasts Modest GDP Growth Modest, Sluggish Near-Term Consumption
-BOE: CPI 2.21% In Two Years Time On Market Rates Versus 2.25% in Aug
-BOE: CPI 2.15% In Three Years Time On Market Rates
-BOE: MPC Sees 2018 GDP 1.6% vs 1.6% Aug; 2019 GDP 1.7% vs 1.8% Aug
The MPC modestly lowered its near-term growth and inflation
forecasts in its Nov Inflation Report, conditioned on a market path that
implied two further 25bp Bank Rate increases. CPI was still seen
above the 2% target throughout the forecast horizon and weak near-term
consumption growth was expected to pick up once household incomes
improved. The jobless rate, however, was seen falling to 4.2% as soon as
Q4 2017, staying at this level until Q1 2020, before closing the
forecast period at 4.3%. In August the MPC projected the jobless rate
picking up to 4.5% early 2018 before returning to 4.4% mid 2020.
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