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BONDS: Gilt/Bunds Back Below 195bp After Fresh Closing Wide Yesterday

BONDS

10-Year gilt/Bunds back below 195bp this morning.

  • This comes after a fresh cycle closing wide yesterday.
  • A move beyond yesterday’s closing levels would place greater focus on 200bp.
  • UK fiscal speculation should continue to dominate ahead of the October 30 Budget, with markets particularly sensitive to headwinds for gilt demand (as seen following yesterday’s caveated warning from Citi).

Fig. 1: 10-Year Gilt/Bund Spread (bp)

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10-Year gilt/Bunds back below 195bp this morning.

  • This comes after a fresh cycle closing wide yesterday.
  • A move beyond yesterday’s closing levels would place greater focus on 200bp.
  • UK fiscal speculation should continue to dominate ahead of the October 30 Budget, with markets particularly sensitive to headwinds for gilt demand (as seen following yesterday’s caveated warning from Citi).

Fig. 1: 10-Year Gilt/Bund Spread (bp)

Keep reading...Show less