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BRAZIL: Finance Minister Haddad Reiterates Importance Of Fiscal Framework

BRAZIL
  • Speaking in a local radio interview earlier today, Finance Minister Haddad said that government spending has to be within the fiscal framework if it is to eliminate the budget deficit. He also said that the government needs to reduce fiscal momentum with a balanced budget and that he sees gross debt in an 80-83% range in the coming years.
    • Haddad’s comments came following the latest BCB Focus survey, which showed analysts raising their end-2024 and end-2025 Selic rate forecasts by another 25bp to 11.75% and 10.75%, respectively. Fiscal data also showed a steady primary deficit in August as the nominal deficit narrowed marginally.
    • Despite this, USDBRL is trading only marginally lower today around 5.43, with attention still on next key support at 5.3768, the Aug 19 low. Clearance of this support would strengthen a bearish threat and open 5.2405, the Jun 6 low.
    • For USDBRL bulls, a stronger recovery would refocus attention on resistance at 5.6917, the Aug 30 high and a bull trigger.
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  • Speaking in a local radio interview earlier today, Finance Minister Haddad said that government spending has to be within the fiscal framework if it is to eliminate the budget deficit. He also said that the government needs to reduce fiscal momentum with a balanced budget and that he sees gross debt in an 80-83% range in the coming years.
    • Haddad’s comments came following the latest BCB Focus survey, which showed analysts raising their end-2024 and end-2025 Selic rate forecasts by another 25bp to 11.75% and 10.75%, respectively. Fiscal data also showed a steady primary deficit in August as the nominal deficit narrowed marginally.
    • Despite this, USDBRL is trading only marginally lower today around 5.43, with attention still on next key support at 5.3768, the Aug 19 low. Clearance of this support would strengthen a bearish threat and open 5.2405, the Jun 6 low.
    • For USDBRL bulls, a stronger recovery would refocus attention on resistance at 5.6917, the Aug 30 high and a bull trigger.