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BRL trading well at the open,........>

BRAZILIAN REAL
BRAZILIAN REAL: BRL trading well at the open, prompting USD/BRL to gap lower and
extend the pullback from last week's highs to 1.8%. The moves follow yesterday's
after-hours rate decision from the Brazilian central bank, who signalled that
this most recent rate cut is the last of this easing cycle.
- The BCB board see the lag of policy as justification for this being the final
rate cut of the cycle, despite their projections for inflation still falling
short of the 4% target.
- Citi note that the BCB board did acknowledge higher uncertainty regarding the
global economic outlook, but retained the assumption of a "relatively favourable
EM environment". This may suggest that if EMs deteriorate, the BCB may have to
re-evaluate their stance.
- Those looking for further downside in USD/BRL eye the late Jan lows at 4.1568
initially ahead of the 50-dma at 4.1453.

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