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Broad Single Currency Weakness Provides Headwind to Koruna

CZK
The Czech koruna is the poorest performer in the EMEA region, with EURCZK last dealing at around 24.68, close to its intraday highs, as both single currency weakness and an uptick in the USD index provides a headwind to CEE FX.
  • There have been few domestic drivers, with moves across G10 FX largely dictating price action. As such, focus will turn to the Fed rate decision later today. Topside resistance is found at the Oct 26 high of 24.747, a break of which would put the cross at its highest since July 2022.
  • The CNB rate decision will then take focus tomorrow. This week's decision is a close call between a hold and a 25bp cut. While the economy has evolved in a dovish direction since the previous meeting, the CNB has been wary of cutting rates too early. Our full preview of the decision, with sell-side analysts views, can be found here.

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