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Bullish European LNG Prices Challenge US-Asia Arb: Platts

LNG

LNG arbitrage to Asia has become increasingly challenging as European prices remain bullish, though muted European demand is keeping US volumes headed eastward, Platts said.

  • The arbitrage for North Asia via the Cape and Panama Canals has been narrowing.
  • The discount for the Cape of Good Hope route widened to 65.3 cents/MMBtu and the Panama Canal rout stands at just 16.1 cents/MMBtu. These are the weakest levels in two months.
  • The arbitrage for South Asia is also dwindling, at 74.2 cents/MMBtu for the Cape route, the weakest since April.
  • Europe’s buying interest remains weak – amid healthy storage and strong renewable supply. This is keeping cargoes pointed east despite the worsening economics.
  • Asia took 43% of flexible US cargoes in July, up from 32% on July 2023. Europe’s share fell 20 percentage points year on year to 31% in July.

Source: S&P Global Commodity Insights

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