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Business and Consumer Inflation Expectations Slowest Since 2021

BOC
  • Business inflation expectations have eased with only 15% of executives expecting it above 3% over the next two years. That's a big drop from the 41% seen last quarter and the lowest since Q1 2021.  
  • BoC business survey also showed 62% expected inflation to be at the 2%-3% range, up from 48% in the previous quarter.
  • For all time horizons, firms' inflation expectations have moderated, converging at about 2.5%. 
  • Businesses indicated labor shortages were less intense from a year ago amid weaker sales and increased labor supply. Most firms expected wage growth to slow in the next 12 months while hiring intentions were weaker than average.
  • Consumer inflation expectations for the year ahead have broadly eased but remain elevated.
  • Report is in line with BOC view officials can keep cutting interest rates as inflation stabilizes. 
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  • Business inflation expectations have eased with only 15% of executives expecting it above 3% over the next two years. That's a big drop from the 41% seen last quarter and the lowest since Q1 2021.  
  • BoC business survey also showed 62% expected inflation to be at the 2%-3% range, up from 48% in the previous quarter.
  • For all time horizons, firms' inflation expectations have moderated, converging at about 2.5%. 
  • Businesses indicated labor shortages were less intense from a year ago amid weaker sales and increased labor supply. Most firms expected wage growth to slow in the next 12 months while hiring intentions were weaker than average.
  • Consumer inflation expectations for the year ahead have broadly eased but remain elevated.
  • Report is in line with BOC view officials can keep cutting interest rates as inflation stabilizes.