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California Continuing Claims Push Higher To Buck National Trend

US DATA
  • Today’s seasonally adjusted continuing claims data caught the eye with a notably different seasonal pattern after annual revisions (see 0857ET bullet) but the non-seasonally adjusted figures paint a similar picture to prior weeks.
  • NSA claims are still higher than levels registered in both 2022 and 2023, but at the low end of pre-pandemic years.
  • However, one state worth watching is California, which saw continuing claims shunt higher to levels higher than this time of year for 2017-19.
  • It’s not a trend seen in other large states, and California did see an unusual trend higher through much of 2023 relative to typical seasonal patterns, but it’s still notable being the largest state in the US.

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