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CANADA: USDCAD Expiry Tilts Higher Post CPI and US Retail Sales

CANADA
  • USDCAD has seen some gravitational pull towards the 1.36 handle ahead of Canadian CPI and US retail sales at 0830ET.
  • It’s currently at 1.3595 for only a little higher on the day amidst broader FX lethargy ahead of US retail sales on day one of the two-day FOMC meeting.
  • Resistance is seen at 1.3623 (Sep 11 high) and 1.3626 (50-day EMA) whilst support is seen at 1.3547 (Sep 9 low).  
  • Today’s option expiry for the NY cut is biased higher, with a heavy $1.74bn at 1.3650.
  • Latest CFTC data showed CAD net shorts were no longer cut last week, at 27% of open interest as of Sep 10 in what had been a swift rebalancing from net shorts as large as 56% in mid-August.
  • See the MNI Canadian CPI preview here.  
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  • USDCAD has seen some gravitational pull towards the 1.36 handle ahead of Canadian CPI and US retail sales at 0830ET.
  • It’s currently at 1.3595 for only a little higher on the day amidst broader FX lethargy ahead of US retail sales on day one of the two-day FOMC meeting.
  • Resistance is seen at 1.3623 (Sep 11 high) and 1.3626 (50-day EMA) whilst support is seen at 1.3547 (Sep 9 low).  
  • Today’s option expiry for the NY cut is biased higher, with a heavy $1.74bn at 1.3650.
  • Latest CFTC data showed CAD net shorts were no longer cut last week, at 27% of open interest as of Sep 10 in what had been a swift rebalancing from net shorts as large as 56% in mid-August.
  • See the MNI Canadian CPI preview here.