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Cash Bonds Twist-Flatten On BoJ Hike Fears

JGBS

In early in the Tokyo afternoon session, JGB futures are weaker, -11 compared to the settlement levels, but well above Tokyo session lows.

  • Outside of the previously outlined PPI Services and International Investment Flow data, there hasn't been much in the way of domestic data drivers to flag.
  • Cash US tsys are 2-3bps richer in today’s Asia-Pac session after yesterday’s twist-steepening, with equity weakness in the driving seat.
  • The cash JGB curve is holding a twist-flattener sparked by a Reuters report that the BoJ was set to consider a hike next week in addition to providing a plan to taper bond buying. Yields are 2bps higher to 1bp lower.
  • The benchmark 10-year yield is 0.4bp higher at 1.085% versus the cycle high of 1.108%.
  • Swap rates are little changed across maturities. Swap spreads are mixed.

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