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Cheaper Start, Household Spending On Tap

AUSSIE BONDS

ACGBs have opened dealing ~4bps cheaper across the major benchmarks on Monday. Local participants are digesting Fridays bear flattening in US Tsys, which was observed as UofMich Inflation Expectations were firmer than forecast.

  • XM (-0.0450) and YM (-0.050) have opened dealing a touch softer, however both contracts remain well within recent ranges.
  • RBA dated futures are stable pricing a terminal rate of 4.50% in May 24, there are ~15bps of cuts priced by Dec 24.
  • On tap today we have CBA Household Spending for October, there is no estimate and the prior read was 0.5% M/M.
  • Looking ahead, the highlight of the week's data calendar is Thursdays Labour Market Report. Unemployment is expected to tick higher to 3.7% in October.

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