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Chicago Business Barometer™ - Edges Up to 46.1 in August

The Chicago Business Barometer™, produced with MNI progressed 0.8 points to 46.1 in August. The marginal move means it remains in contractionary territory for the ninth consecutive month, although is comfortably above the year-to-date average of 42.9.

THREE OF FIVE SUBCOMPONENTS IMPROVED; NEW ORDERS FOLLOWED BY PRODUCTION AND SUPPLIER DELIVERIES

New Orders, rose 2.0 points, making it comfortably above the year-to-date average of 42.0.

Production grew 1.5 points, still significantly below the high of June. The increase was largely due to more respondents reporting unchanged production rather than lower production.

Supplier Deliveries increased for the fourth consecutive month by 2.9 points, making it the highest since October 2022.

SMALL REDUCTIONS IN ORDER BACKLOGS AND EMPLOYMENT CAPPED THE UPSIDE MOVE

Meanwhile, Order Backlogs dipped for the second consecutive month by 4.1 points. This makes it the lowest since May 2024.

Employment was also lower for the second consecutive month, falling 2.4 points.

Prices Paid jumped up by 10.2 points, after three consecutive months of decline, taking it above the year-to-date average of 63.4.

Finally, Inventories grew 3.3 points, producing the second highest reading in 2024.

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