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China Easing, A New Risk-On Episode?

CHINA

Executive summary

  • China loosening policy could result in strong rebound in domestic risky assets in 2022, with officials determined to focus on growth
  • Good news for China has generally been good news for China-sensitive commodities (i.e. iron, copper) and currencies (AUD)

Link to full article:


China easing 2022.pdf


Recently, investors have been questioning if liquidity conditions in China will start to ease gradually in 2022 along with PBoC cutting rates, which could benefit to domestic risky assets and especially equities (which are currently 'cheap' relative to other EM markets). China liquidity (TSF 12M sum), which has been contracting sharply in the past year, could start to rise in the coming months.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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