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Free AccessCIBC write that today's BoC...........>
DOLLAR-CANADA: CIBC write that today's BoC Governor Poloz speech will underline
the presumption that the BoC will likely prove cautious with regards to monetary
tightening, noting the bank will continue to monitor the impact of mortgage
regulatory changes. The Poloz speech is due at 1945BST with a press conference
at 2110BST.
-Today also sees the February GDP print, coming as January saw "unscheduled
maintenance shutdowns" in non-conventional oil extraction, this is expected to
rebound in February. CIBC expect a GDP rebound of 0.3% in the month, but note
that their unrounded models barely reach 0.3%, which risks an undershoot. With
growth in Q1 looking set to be tracking at around 1.7%, broadly in line with Q4
expect this to leave room for BoC patience.
-CIBC add that should the GDP rebound prove slower than median presumptions
expect another test towards 1.2900/10 in USD/CAD.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.