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Conservatives Fall Behind Labour For First Time Since January After Tax Hike

UK

Prime Minister Boris Johnson's centre-right Conservative Party is polling behind the main opposition centre-left Labour Party for the first time since January in the latest poll from YouGov.

  • YouGov: Lab: 35% (+1), Con: 33% (-5), Lib Dem: 10% (+2), Green: 9% (-1), SNP: 5% (=), Reform UK: 5% (+2). Fieldwork 8-9 Sep, chgs w/ 2-3 Sep
  • The sharp decline in support for the Conservatives comes just after the gov't announced a 1.25% hike in individuals' contributions to National Insurance in order to pay for the NHS and adult social care.
  • The NI hike has been criticised as unfair for penalising young workers in favour of wealthy retirees. The poll shows just 1% of respondents believing that the changes will leave them better off, compared to 58% saying they will be worse off.
  • In a major concern for the Conservatives, 59% of respondents said that the party no longer cares about keeping taxes low. Given that the party has, since the era of Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, sought to built its reputation on economic competence and rolling back the frontiers of the state, losing its reputation for low taxes in the long term would prove a devastating electoral blow.
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