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CROSS ASSET: Risk-Off Pervades, NZD/JPY Accelerates Weakness

CROSS ASSET
  • Broad JPY strength is persisting into the European open, with JPY the best performing currency across G10 for a third consecutive session, getting a boost from flight-to-quality flows, a poor showing from global equity futures and a continued unwind of the carry trade fuelled USD/JPY rally. 
  • The JPY spot trade-weighted index is now over 4.5% above the pre-intervention low, and cross-selling in antipodean currencies continues to stand out. After the key technical breaks in AUD/JPY earlier in the week, NZD/JPY is following suit today as price breaks the 200-dma support for the first time since June last year. Slippage through 90.82 would mark a total reversal of the rally off the early May lows, and could come into contention on an extension lower - the cross has traded lower in 10 of the past 11 sessions - helping trigger a technically oversold signal in the 14-day RSI. 
  • Sour earnings from both Alphabet (Google) and Tesla weighed on equity futures after-market Tuesday, which is keeping markets lower this morning (NASDAQ 100 futs -1.0%, Eurostoxx50 fut -0.6%) and keeping global bond yields under pressure. Chinese and Asian equity markets are set to close in the red, and industrial metals are again weaker. China-listed iron ore is off another 2.1% and hitting a fresh multi-month low ahead of the open. 

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