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DXY has dropped 9 pips thus far and last.....>

DOLLAR
DOLLAR: DXY has dropped 9 pips thus far and last sits at 96.82, with U.S.
markets closed for a national holiday today. WTI has added $0.30, while gold
trades $2.20 higher. On Friday, the dollar index shed 7 pips, as data releases
sent mixed signals; Empire m'fing & U. of Mich. topped expectations, while
industrial output disappointed. U.S. President Trump signed a funding bill to
avert a government shutdown, at the same time he declared a national emergency
re: the border situation. Equities were underpinned on the back of "progress" in
the U.S.-China trade talks, ahead of further dialogue in Washington scheduled
for this week. Fed's Bostic spoke, indicating that he doesn't have a particular
timeframe in mind re: balance sheet normalisation, reiterating his base case of
1 rate hike in 2019, followed by another in 2020, stressing that he is no rush
to arrive at the neutral rate. Elsewhere, Fed's Daly spoke with the WSJ, noting
that she sees a good chance of no rate hikes in 2019.
- DXY bears eye the 100-DMA at 96.38, and a break below would open up the 21-DMA
at 96.30. Meanwhile, bulls look for a jump above Friday's high of 97.37, which
would bring the upper 1.0% 10-DMA envelope at 97.69 into play.

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