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Early on Tuesday Credit Agricole..............>

FOREX
FOREX: Early on Tuesday Credit Agricole recommended buying GBPCHF at 1.3150 with
a stop-loss at 1.2780 and a target of 1.3850.
- Credit Agricole noted that "the GBP has suffered for most of the past few
weeks, largely on the back of weaker risk sentiment driven by political
uncertainty in Italy. Weaker domestic data, to the detriment of Bank of England
monetary-policy expectations, has also weighed on the currency. From current
levels, we believe GBP downside is likely to prove limited. This is not only
because of limited scope for central-bank rate expectations to fall further, but
also due to the view that the bar for positive surprises from the Brexit
negotiations seems low. In addition, speculative GBP positioning is now back to
balanced territory. Hence, position-squaring-related downside risk is low from
now on. All of the above stands in contrast to the CHF. Even if conditions were
to become more unstable again, we believe the SNB's aggressive policy mix of
negative rates and currency intervention is likely to prevent the CHF from
breaking considerably above its recent highs."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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