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Early SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup

US TSYS

Better put trade on net coming into the session, if overall volumes remain subdued after the BOE 25bp hike (expected). Focus turns to S&P Global US Services/Composite PMIs at 0945ET, ISMs at 1000ET. Little change in rate hike projections through year end, Sep 20 FOMC is 17% w/ implied rate change of +4.3bp to 5.371%. November cumulative of +9bp at 5.419, December cumulative of 6bp at 5.389%. Fed terminal holding at 5.42% in Nov'23.

  • SOFR Options:
    • 3,700 SFRZ3 94.00/94.75 put spds vs. 97.00/98.00 call spds
    • 12,000 SFRV3 94.50 puts, ref 94.63 to -.625
    • 4,000 SFRX3 94.87 calls ref 94.63
    • 1,000 2QQ3 96.00/96.18 3x2 put spds ref 96.32
    • 2,000 2QQ3 96.00 puts, 2.5 ref 96.33
  • Treasury Options:
    • Block, 21,000 TYU3 107/108.5 put spds, 11-12 ref 110-13
    • 1,250 FVU3 107.25/108.25 call spds ref 106-13.5
    • 6,000 TYU3 107/108.5 put spds, 12 ref 110-13
    • over 10,500 TYU3 109.5 puts, 31-34 ref 110-12.5 to -11.5
    • 1,500 USU3 114/117 put spds ref 120-29
    • 1,800 USU3 116/119 put spds ref 121-26

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