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Early SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup

US TSYS

Two-way SOFR and Treasury options carries over from Friday -- leaning bullish on light volumes with Japan and UK out for spring holidays, underlying futures mildly higher following the April jobs miss. Projected rate cut pricing looking steady to mildly firmer vs. late Friday: June 2024 steady at -10% w/ cumulative rate cut -2.5bp at 5.298%, July'24 at -30% w/ cumulative at -10bp at 5.222%, Sep'24 cumulative -22.8bp (-22.1bp late Fri), Nov'24 cumulative -32.8bp (-31.7bp late Fri). Dec'24 cumulative currently -47.7bp vs -46.4bp late Friday (-54.7bp post data).

  • SOFR Options:
    • 1,500 0QK4 95.56/95.75 call spds ref 95.645
    • Blocks, 8,000 SFRZ4 94.37/94.62/94.87 put flys, 5.5
    • 4,500 SFRM4 95.75/96.18call spds
    • 2,000 0QZ4 96.37/97.00 call spds bs. 3QZ4 96.50/97.00 call spds
    • 2,200 SFRM4 95.62/96.18 call spds ref 94.725
    • 1,900 SFRQ4 95.12 calls ref 94.905
    • Block, 2,900 SFRZ5 90.00/94.00 put spds, 10.5 ref 95.88
    • Block, 2,500 SFRZ4 94.43/94.68 put spds, 3.0 ref 95.15
  • Treasury Options:
    • 1,400 TYM4 108/110 call spds, 59 ref 108-31
    • 1,300 FVM4 104.75 puts ref 105-21.5

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