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Early SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup: Shift to Calls

US TSYS
SOFR/Treasury option trade shifts from better puts the last few sessions to calls, albeit on lighter volumes overnight as underlying futures climb off yesterday's post-retail sales lows. Focus turns to house starts/build permits at 0830ET, BLS state labor and UofM sentiment at 1000ET. Projected rate cuts look a little firmer vs. late Thursday levels (*): Sep'24 cumulative -33.8bp (-31.8bp), Nov'24 cumulative -64.2bp (-62.0bp), Dec'24 -96.8bp (-93.5bp).
  • SOFR Options:
    • 2,000 SFRU4 95.12/95.50 call spds vs. 95.00 put ref 95.075
    • 2,000 SFRH5 97.50/98.00 call spds ref 96.155
    • 3,000 SFRU4 95.18/95.31 call spds ref 95.07
    • 2,000 0QZ4/3QZ4 97.00/97.50 call spd spd, ongoing curve play
    • 3,000 SFRZ4 94.93/95.18/95.43 put flys ref 95.66 to -.685
    • 2,000 SFRZ4 95.62/95.75/95.87 call flys
  • Treasury Options:
    • over 6,400 FVU4 109 calls, 9-11.5
    • 3,000 TYU4 113/113.5 call spds ref 113-10.5
    • over 4,100 TYU4 112.5 puts, 6 last ref 113-09 to -09.5
    • 6,300 USU4 122 puts, 11-12 ref 123-17
    • 7,300 wk3 TY 113.25/113.5 call spds ref 113-02, expire today
    • 2,100 FVU4 108 puts ref 108-24

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